Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 9.793364e-05 0.000114 0.000130 0.000148 0.000168 0.000189 0.000213
2025-04-27 7.091152e-05 0.000093 0.000117 0.000147 0.000181 0.000218 0.000261
2025-05-04 5.398847e-05 0.000078 0.000107 0.000144 0.000187 0.000236 0.000295
2025-05-11 4.516837e-05 0.000072 0.000104 0.000147 0.000200 0.000261 0.000336
2025-05-18 3.672564e-05 0.000064 0.000099 0.000147 0.000206 0.000278 0.000367
2025-05-25 3.047357e-05 0.000058 0.000095 0.000147 0.000214 0.000295 0.000398
2025-06-01 2.820761e-05 0.000057 0.000098 0.000156 0.000232 0.000325 0.000445
2025-06-08 2.461334e-05 0.000054 0.000097 0.000159 0.000243 0.000347 0.000481
2025-06-15 2.195968e-05 0.000052 0.000097 0.000164 0.000255 0.000370 0.000519
2025-06-22 1.932314e-05 0.000049 0.000096 0.000168 0.000266 0.000390 0.000555
2025-06-29 1.521295e-05 0.000043 0.000090 0.000163 0.000265 0.000397 0.000572
2025-07-06 1.133621e-05 0.000037 0.000082 0.000156 0.000261 0.000398 0.000583
2025-07-13 8.930826e-06 0.000033 0.000078 0.000153 0.000263 0.000408 0.000605
2025-07-20 7.012445e-06 0.000030 0.000075 0.000152 0.000266 0.000419 0.000629
2025-07-27 5.198275e-06 0.000026 0.000071 0.000149 0.000267 0.000426 0.000647
2025-08-03 4.458966e-06 0.000025 0.000071 0.000152 0.000277 0.000447 0.000683
2025-08-10 3.422511e-06 0.000023 0.000068 0.000152 0.000281 0.000459 0.000708
2025-08-17 2.664426e-06 0.000021 0.000067 0.000152 0.000287 0.000473 0.000736
2025-08-24 2.629372e-06 0.000022 0.000070 0.000161 0.000305 0.000505 0.000787
2025-08-31 2.213253e-06 0.000021 0.000070 0.000165 0.000315 0.000526 0.000824
2025-09-07 1.934770e-06 0.000021 0.000071 0.000170 0.000328 0.000549 0.000864
2025-09-14 1.613993e-06 0.000020 0.000072 0.000173 0.000338 0.000570 0.000900
2025-09-21 9.955858e-07 0.000018 0.000067 0.000168 0.000335 0.000572 0.000913